ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE
ESPN FPI Potential CFP Teams: 4
Pittsburgh 15.2%, Clemson 2%, NC State 1.5%, Wake Forest .1%
What sticks out about this is that Wake Forest seems to have the best opportunity as the only team in the conference still undefeated. Clemson and North Carolina heavily underperforming has not been good for the ACC’s reputation in 2021.
Right now, the AP Poll only has three of the four listed teams ranked and Clemson is not one of them. ESPN only gives No. 16 Wake Forest a .3% chance to win out. Only NC State is ranked on the Demon Deacons’ remaining schedule.
Pittsburgh has the highest percentage chance to make the playoff, but a loss to Western Michigan is a huge albatross hanging around its neck. No. 18 North Carolina State is in a similar predicament as it has a loss to what some consider the SEC West’s worst team in Mississippi State. The fact that Clemson has any chance at all makes the FPI formula seem laughable.
AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE
ESPN FPI Potential CFP Teams: 2
Cincinnati 61.2%, SMU 0.1%
The Bearcats of Cincinnati can only beat who is in front of them. In the preseason, every expert had Cincinnati with a difficult schedule. It is just that its opponents did not do their part.
Indiana was coming off one of its best seasons in a long time, but could not keep the momentum going. Bearcat fans have to hope No. 13 Notre Dame keeps handling business. Let’s not forget that Cincinnati has one ranked opponent left on the schedule and that is against No. 21 SMU, who the FPI still gives a mathematical chance to make the playoff. If SMU runs the table, and defeats Cincinnati, the percentages could easily switch.
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You can find the rest of it here
ESPN FPI Potential CFP Teams: 4
Pittsburgh 15.2%, Clemson 2%, NC State 1.5%, Wake Forest .1%
What sticks out about this is that Wake Forest seems to have the best opportunity as the only team in the conference still undefeated. Clemson and North Carolina heavily underperforming has not been good for the ACC’s reputation in 2021.
Right now, the AP Poll only has three of the four listed teams ranked and Clemson is not one of them. ESPN only gives No. 16 Wake Forest a .3% chance to win out. Only NC State is ranked on the Demon Deacons’ remaining schedule.
Pittsburgh has the highest percentage chance to make the playoff, but a loss to Western Michigan is a huge albatross hanging around its neck. No. 18 North Carolina State is in a similar predicament as it has a loss to what some consider the SEC West’s worst team in Mississippi State. The fact that Clemson has any chance at all makes the FPI formula seem laughable.
AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE
ESPN FPI Potential CFP Teams: 2
Cincinnati 61.2%, SMU 0.1%
The Bearcats of Cincinnati can only beat who is in front of them. In the preseason, every expert had Cincinnati with a difficult schedule. It is just that its opponents did not do their part.
Indiana was coming off one of its best seasons in a long time, but could not keep the momentum going. Bearcat fans have to hope No. 13 Notre Dame keeps handling business. Let’s not forget that Cincinnati has one ranked opponent left on the schedule and that is against No. 21 SMU, who the FPI still gives a mathematical chance to make the playoff. If SMU runs the table, and defeats Cincinnati, the percentages could easily switch.
.
.
.
.
.
You can find the rest of it here
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