Nebraska president just told everyone the plan here. Timing is the biggest unknown IMO.
Here's what I can gather from my sources and from what's known publicly:
- Big Ten wants to expand east with ACC schools when they're available but there's no clarity on when that's going to happen. The feeling is that it won't go until 2036.
- Notre Dame remains the big prize but the Big Ten believes they will only join when they are backed into a corner. If the ACC falls apart, they may feel the need to join the Big Ten. I'm not completely convinced this is the case. I could see the Irish retreating back to the Big East and remaining Independent if the ACC falls apart. But that's just my speculation.
- The feeling is if the Big Ten expands in the east, they can't leave USC and UCLA alone on an island. The big question is how many PAC 12 teams should be added? It sounds like Oregon and Washington will be added at some point. They could add up to two more after that. Stanford, California and Utah remain under consideration. USC and UCLA are pushing hard for Cal and Stanford to be included.
If I'm going to speculate irresponsibly, I think this is what the conferences end up looking like:
Big Ten has their 16 current members and adds Washington, Oregon, Stanford and California from the PAC. Then adds Virginia, North Carolina, Miami and Georgia Tech. I think the Big Ten will make a push for Florida State and it's possible FSU chooses the Big Ten and takes GT's spot.
SEC adds Florida State and Clemson. Maybe the SEC feels the need to get to 20 and they add NC State and VT. My gut feeling is that the SEC doesn't add those two, however.
Big 12 will pick up the pieces that they want from the PAC and ACC. They could go to 24 and add Arizona and CU from the PAC, NC State, Duke, VT, Pittsburgh, and Louisville from the ACC and UConn from the Big East.
ACC is left with Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse. They backfill with Tulane, Navy, Temple, Memphis, USF, SMU, ECU, JMU, and Marshall.
PAC is left with Arizona State, Utah, Oregon State and Washington State. They backfill with San Diego State, Fresno State, Boise State, UNLV, Colorado State, Air Force, New Mexico, UTSA, Rice, UTEP.